Showing posts with label Phantom of Heilbronn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Phantom of Heilbronn. Show all posts

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Why DNA Is Not an Infallible Indicator of Guilt or Innocence

Obasogie, High-Tech, High-Risk Forensics (Op-Ed), NYTimes (July 24, 2013):

SAN FRANCISCO — WHEN the police arrived last November at the ransacked mansion of the millionaire investor Raveesh Kumra, outside of San Jose, Calif., they found Mr. Kumra had been blindfolded, tied and gagged. The robbers took cash, rare coins and ultimately Mr. Kumra’s life; he died at the scene, suffocated by the packaging tape used to stifle his screams. A forensics team found DNA on his fingernails that belonged to an unknown person, presumably one of the assailants. The sample was put into a DNA database and turned up a “hit” — a local man by the name of Lukis Anderson.

Bingo. Mr. Anderson was arrested and charged with murder.

There was one small problem: the 26-year-old Mr. Anderson couldn’t have been the culprit. During the night in question, he was at the Santa Clara Valley Medical Center, suffering from severe intoxication.

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In one famous case of crime scene contamination, German police searched for around 15 years for a serial killer they called the “Phantom of Heilbronn” — an unknown female linked by traces of DNA to six murders across Germany and Austria. In 2009, the police found their “suspect”: a worker at a factory that produced the cotton swabs police used in their investigations had been accidentally contaminating them with her own DNA.

Contamination is not the only way DNA forensics can lead to injustice. Consider the frequent claim that it is highly unlikely, if not impossible, for two DNA profiles to match by coincidence. A 2005 audit of Arizona’s DNA database showed that, out of some 65,000 profiles, nearly 150 pairs matched at a level typically considered high enough to identify and prosecute suspects. Yet these profiles were clearly from different people.

There are also problems with the way DNA evidence is interpreted and presented to juries. In 2008, John Puckett — a California man in his 70s with a sexual assault record — was accused of a 1972 killing, after a trawl of the state database partially linked his DNA to crime scene evidence. As in the Anderson case, Mr. Puckett was identified and implicated primarily by this evidence. Jurors — told that there was only a one-in-1.1 million chance that this DNA match was pure coincidence — convicted him. He is now serving a life sentence.

But that one-in-1.1 million figure is misleading, according to two different expert committees, one convened by the F.B.I., the other by the National Research Council. It reflects the chance of a coincidental match in relation to the size of the general population (assuming that the suspect is the only one examined and is not related to the real culprit). Instead of the general population, we should be looking at only the number of profiles in the DNA database. Taking the size of the database into account in Mr. Puckett’s case (and, again, assuming the real culprit’s profile is not in the database) would have led to a dramatic change in the estimate, to one in three.

...

DNA forensics is an invaluable tool for law enforcement. But it is most useful when it corroborates other evidence pointing to a suspect, or when used to determine whether any two individual samples match, like in the exonerations pursued by the Innocence Project.

But when the government gets into the business of warehousing millions of DNA profiles to seek “cold hits” as the primary basis for prosecutions, much more oversight by and accountability to the public is warranted. For far too long, we have allowed the myth of DNA infallibility to chip away at our skepticism of government’s prosecutorial power, undoubtedly leading to untold injustices.

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N.B. The thesis of the above article cuts two ways: The discovery of non-matching DNA is also not always powerful evidence of innocence.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Postscript to the Story of the DNA Pixie Dust in the Phantom of Heilbronn Case

A representative of the state prosecutor's office in Heilbronn officially confirmed that the source of the DNA found at about 40 crime scenes in Europe was not the hypothesized persistent peripatetic perpetrator called the "Phantom of Heilbronn" but, rather, a mercifully-unnamed female employee at an unnamed packing company somewhere in Bavaria. (The female employee presumably did not bother to wear gloves when packing the cotton swabs.) See "'Phantom-Mörderin' ist ein Phantom [The Phantom Murderer is a Phantom]," Spiegel Online (March 27, 2009).

The "Gold Standard" Bites the Dust! (gratuitous editorial comment by PT)

So: Did someone win the 300,000 Euro award for providing definitive clues to the (non-)identity of the Phantom of Heilbronn? If not, why not?


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Thursday, March 26, 2009

DNA as Pixie Dust

For many months police in Germany and other parts of Europe have been searching for the "phantom of Heilbronn." See my earlier post, A Malicious Fairy Princess Spreading Spreading Pixie Dust Laced with DNA over European Crime Scenes? (May 14, 2008). This "woman without a face," DNA tests showed, had committed six different murders and also other crimes in various towns in Germany and Europe. A reward of 300,000 Euros was offered for clues to the identity of this female miscreant.

Oops. Yes, the crimes were committed. But the thesis that one evil woman committed all of them was, it turns out, very, very probably false. See "Eine sehr peinliche Geschichte," Spiegel Online (March 26, 2009).

What led to this snafu?

DNA.

More precisely, unsanitary packing procedures during the manufacturing process, perhaps.

The Spiegel story (in very rough translation) tells us:
It now appears that the chances of finding the trail of the mysterious suspect are slimmer than ever before -- because she apparently doesn't exist. According state's attorney Heilbronn, the Baden-Wuerttenberg Office of Criminal Affairs is now investigating whether the cotton swabs ["Q-tips"] that investigators used to collect DNA samples [at crime scenes] had already been contaminated with DNA and had thus led investigators on a false trail.

According to a report in Stern.de, the matter involves a packager [a packer, an employee] who worked for the manufacturer of the swabs that were used [at the crime scenes]. According to this report, the swabs were, to be sure, sterilized. But, according to Christian Rueff of the University of Zurich, such sterilization of the swabs does not affect contamination of the swabs with DNA by cells of the human body. [PT: The employee, I presume, held the cotton swabs in her hands when putting them into boxes or other containers.] The manufacturer delivered cotton swabs to various places in Germany and and also in France and Austria.
The article then proceeds to describe what led some observers to believe that the phantom woman might not in fact exist. One general problem was the large number of crimes -- 40 -- that the "phantom" supposedly committed in, supposedly, widely dispersed locations in Europe. Another hint that something might be amiss was that the supposed perpetrator supposedly began committing the crimes in 1993. But the immediate reason for doubt that a single woman committed the 40 or so crimes was the discovery that swabs of documents owned by a person who died in a fire had DNA that matched the DNA of the "phantom" -- which, an official proclaimed, "really could not be."

An official at the state prosecutor's office stated it was even possible that the cotton in the cotton swabs used in the police investigations was contaminated with DNA when it was plucked from the plant.


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My thanks to Lothar Philipps for alerting me to this story.


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Clarification: The corpse found in the fire apparently was never thought to be the corpse of the suspected culprit. The testing of the documents the dead person had owned aroused suspicion because the second time the documents were tested no matching DNA was found. See "'DNA bungle' haunts German police," BBC News (March 26, 2009).


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