Saturday, September 03, 2011

Editor's Choice

 Law, Probability and Risk



EDITOR'S CHOICE

The following articles have been selected by the editor are available FREE online. Click on the article titles below to read them.
Discussion paper: The structure and the logic of proof in trials 
Peter Tillers 
Volume 10, Issue 1, March 2011 

Irreversibility 
Cass R. Sunstein 
Volume 9 Issue 3-4 September-December 2010

 
&&&
 

The dynamic evidence page

Evidence marshaling software MarshalPlan

It's here: the law of evidence on Spindle Law. See also this post and this post.

Proportionality and Quantitative Justice

  • SPECIAL ISSUE: Proportionality and Quantitative Justice
Volume 10 Issue 3 September 2011

Articles



 
 
&&&

The dynamic evidence page

Evidence marshaling software MarshalPlan

It's here: the law of evidence on Spindle Law. See also this post and this post.

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Fact Investigation & Dynamic Inference


Inference is dynamic: It changes over time; it exists in a changing environment (the world is constantly changing, the actors who draw inferences change); inference suffers the slings and arrows of changing preferences, emotions, desires, passions, etc.; inference changes when subjective judgments change and when generalizations or beliefs about the world change; it often changes when the evidence changes, which evidence always does (to some degree); inference changes when standards of judgment (e.g., burdens of persuasion, or what decision theorists call "decision rules") change; and inference changes for yet other reasons I can't think of at the moment.

Fact investigation is also hard in part because, as someone, said, "Predictions are hard, particularly about the future." An investigator, who always suffers from some ignorance, must make decisions about what to investigate and what lines of investigation are worth pursuing. Such prophecies about future evidentiary rewards are intrinsically hard to make -- given the investigator's ignorance of the evidence that will ultimately be found (or not found). Cf. "value of information" theory.

&&&


The dynamic evidence page