Is the Doctrine of Chances Good Law -- Really?

It is often said that the "doctrine of chances" -- think Brides in the Bath -- is good law, if only implicitly so. But my research reveals or suggests that during roughly the last 18 years only a small handful of federal courts -- perhaps only two -- have expressly endorsed the doctrine of chances. In view of this can it reasonably be argued that the doctrine of chances is good law in the federal system? I wonder. I seriously wonder.

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