Sunday, March 11, 2012

The Curious Properties of Hierarchical Inference


An in-depth treatment of David A. Schum's most penetrating and extraordinarily subtle theory of the curious properties of hiearchical inference:

Juchli, Biedermann & Taroni

Graphical probabilistic analysis of the combination of items of evidence

11 Law, Probabilioty and Risk 51 (2012)

N.B. But I think the authors are wrong to assert (as they do) that the really important part of any model of inference is the computational part. (They characterize Schum diagrams as "mere representations.")


The dynamic evidence page
Evidence marshaling software MarshalPlan
It's here: the law of evidence on Spindle Law.

See also this post and this post.

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